Author Archives: Soccerwidow
The Challenge of Predicting Individual Events
Why is it so awfully difficult to predict single events accurately, when the synergy of multiple events aggregated together seems far easier to guess?
Many people are able to predict how things will develop in their personal lives over a period...
Multilingual Ad Targeting & Positioning in WordPress
C’est facile, n’est-ce pas?
This blog is not only a bilingual German and English site, but most of the adverts on it also fit the article topics and display in the correct language. For example, if you press F5 and reload a page...
Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 207 Bets, 07/12/2011 – 31/05/2012
The end of the month has arrived again and after 17 match analyses and 48 more value bet recommendations, it is time for our summary.
May was the first month we published our value bet articles and predictions in both Betfair’s German...
Impact of the ‘Overround’ on Accumulators, Multiple Bets, and Parlays
Betting odds are supposed to reflect the probability (statistical expectation) that a particular event will happen.
Image: Elnur (Shutterstock)
Because bookmakers are profit-making enterprises who offer bets on the market, it is understandable...
Management of External & Affiliate Links via Redirection Scripts in WordPress
Hopefully, as your Web site grows and prospers, inevitably, the number of external links will grow too. However, from the very start of your Internet project, it is crucial to be aware that Web pages on third party Web sites have the annoying...
Football Betting Permutations: 5 Cup Finals in 5 Days
Slim chance for the favourites?
It has been a busy week in the world of football with the conclusions of many major tournaments across Europe, including the jewel in the crown, the UEFA Champions League final between Bayern Munich and Chelsea.
Having...
Understand Odds: Cup Finals and International Tournaments, played at neutral venues
Both sides of the coin…
The ‘true’, ‘fair’ or ‘zero’ odds are all synonyms for those odds which exactly reflect the statistical expectation of an event. For example, the ‘true’ odds for the...
Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 159 Bets, from 07/12/2011 to 30/04/2012
After five months of writing match previews and bet recommendations both in the English and German language versions of Betfair’s blog, it is time to review the results and ultimately compare them with Betfair’s own odds (i.e. predicted...
Goal Distribution Comparison – EPL, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, Eredivisie
Judging purely from statistics, watching French league games must be rather boring as there are never many goals.
Image: koya979 (Shutterstock)
The Dutch, on the other hand, tend to have at least five goals in nearly 10% of their matches.
From...
Betfair Premium Charge Part 2
Death Of The Dream:
So, my case scenario revolves around the fact that you are statistically more likely to belong to the 99.5% majority of Betfair customers who have a tendency to lose more bets than you win. If so, you can rest assured that...
