Methodical Correct Score Betting
Claimed by many to be very successful, this simple football correct score betting system is based on the statistical likelihood of a certain event occurring.
In casino roulette, there is a well-known method where the player waits until a colour (red or black) has not come up ‘X’ number of times before betting on it to arrive.
Image: Slavoljub Pantelic (Shutterstock)He starts with a small amount, say £1, and if his chosen colour does not win, he doubles his stake in the following round, continuing in this fashion until finally it does win.
As soon as this happens he stops, cashes his money, and starts the game afresh.
The only limitations with this system are the minimum and maximum stakes employed by the casinos.
If the minimum stake is for example 100 units, the gambler must double his stakes with every losing round meaning 200, followed by 400, then 800, 1,600, etc.
However, casinos also have maximum stake limits which, can finally lead to the point where the player can only bet the maximum leaving him with an uncomfortable choice of haemhorraging more cash with each losing bet or cutting his losses and running.
The principle behind this particular system is easily transferrable to football betting and there are various betting related blogs recommending its usage in the high odds correct score market.
The strategy is to bet continually on the same score, progressively increasing stakes, until eventually the desired correct score arrives.
One of the main advantages of this system is that there is literally no maximum stake (stakes can be split with different bookmakers if necessary). The only limit is your own bank reserves.
Of course, this correct score betting strategy is also reliant on utmost discipline in sticking to the rules of the system.
This article will explore whether there is any viability in the Football Roulette Correct Score System together with our observations, improvement suggestions and advice we feel it is necessary to impart.
In football correct score betting, the odds are substantially more attractive than the traditional ‘evens’ offered by casinos betting on ‘red’ or ‘black’ in roulette.
Odds are as high as 11.0 (and sometimes higher depending upon the relative strength of the teams involved) for common full-time scores such as 2-0 or 2-1, and can be found for virtually every football match (whether using bookmakers or betting exchanges).
Advocates of the Football Roulette Correct Score System advise that it is best started at the beginning of a new football season and the main objective is to win £100 from each selected team (or whatever your fixed monetary objective is).
Team Selection:
- For example, in order to win a possible £3,000, 30 teams should be selected.
- Select only those teams likely to win one home game 1-0, 2-0 or 2-1 during the targeted season.
An example we have seen selects the 30 teams as follows:
- Eight from the English Premier League (the top eight from the previous season)
- Seven in the English Championship (the three relegated sides from the Premier League plus the top four sides that didn’t win promotion from the Championship)
- Seven in English League One (the three relegated sides from the Championship plus the top four sides that didn’t win promotion from League One)
- Eight in English League Two (the four relegated sides from League One plus the top four sides that didn’t win promotion from League Two)
Hi there.
First of all once again i would like to thank you for all the effort you put through your site. It’s top quality and one of my truly favourites.
The reason i write this to you is that i need any help in order to reverse the poisson when used for predicting the % of any score to happen in any match.
We know that we shall use the average goals into the equation to get to the % of A Team Scoring X goals, then we combine those to get % for actual scores and then we add them to get % of the final outcome.
I am not sure why i thought reversing the poisson but what do i mean. Is there any way for us to use the exact score odds offered by the bookies and go backwards to find the average goals should be used to get to odds offered?
I would like to know if there would be any huge gaps between the true goal averages that exist and the ones the bookies use. (well it all means we agree in an hypothesis that the bookies use the poisson themselves too)
I hope i made myself clear enough.
I would appreciate to hear back from you
All the best!
Hi Betakos,
I cannot answer your question for sure as I have never looked at this in detail. However, bookmakers adjust their odds to match public opinion: How Bookmakers’ Odds Match Public Opinion This is a general rule and applies to all markets, also Correct Scores. Therefore, I would not think that there is a valid and reliable way to use the correct score odds offered by the bookies in order to go backwards to find the average goals.
It is indisputably better and essential to understand odds calculation from the ground up, calculate your own odds, and then compare with the market prices.
Unrealistic odds for 2-0 the whole table is misleading… your stakes would rapidly increase with the true odds.
Been trying the correct score system on paper for a while now, and it seems to work. However, it’s better to use a bot as it takes out all the emotion, also use small stakes of £5 with a betting bank of £500.
This looks quite interesting, and not something that I have considered before. I may try this starting this weekend, even though we are part of the way through the season.
I have tried it and it worked. Best fascinating football bet system!