What’s The Score?
After describing the Football Roulette – Correct Score Betting system, it is time to reveal the results of our first paper test.
30 teams were picked according to a popular selection process:
- 8 from the English Premier League (top 8 from the previous season)
- 7 from the English Championship (the 3 relegated sides from the Premier League plus the top 4 sides that didn’t get promoted into the Premier League)
- 7 from English League One (the 3 relegated sides from the Championship plus the top 4 sides that didn’t get promoted into the Championship)
- 8 from English League Two (the 4 relegated sides from League One plus the top 4 sides that didn’t get promoted into League One)
Our chosen score, was a 2-0 home win.
The system sounded good enough to put to the test and the following tables show the results from the 2011/2012 English League season (click on each table to open in a new tab and then place mouse pointer over the table and use magnifier to enlarge):
English Premier League Results 2011-12
English Championship Results 2011-12
This was a very interesting and well written research piece – very useful because many of us mull over such systems without having the time or discipline (money isn’t necessary to do the research) to do it.
I suppose the real drawback is the period of the test since clearly West Ham, for example, will eventually win 2-0 but not in time to compensate for the losses in the season of the test. And who knows how long it could take? So perhaps the answer is to target more the sort of markets where particular teams/leaguesmight be favoured – eg red cards or corners, in order to reduce the time taken to recoup losses.
With that approach, the current prevalence on the Exchanges of bots which apply blanket rules to some markets might help but will require more digging by the investor to find the spots.
Thank you for making the effort!
GL
I have just seen this link after reading the first part.
In my previous post I mentioned that I may try this system. After examine how it stacks up….I will be leaving this alone.
Intersting article though with good analysis.