Demystifying Betting Myths
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Business picture about analysis - gold coins with people on a sliding slope / Illustration Analyse - Goldmünzen mit Menschen auf einem Rutschhang

Football Roulette Correct Score Betting Strategy – 2011/2012 Season Paper Test Results

What’s The Score? After describing the Football Roulette – Correct Score Betting system, it is time to reveal the results of our first paper test. 30 teams were picked according to a popular selection process: 8 from the English Premier...
Close up of roulette wheel with football instead ball / Nahaufnahme eines Roulette-Rads mit Fußball statt Kugel

Football Roulette – Correct Score Betting Strategy

Methodical Correct Score Betting Claimed by many to be very successful, this simple football correct score betting system is based on the statistical likelihood of a certain event occurring. In casino roulette, there is a well-known method...
Crazy young scientist trying to break his alarm clock / Verrückter Wissenschaftler versucht, seinen Wecker zu zerschlagen

Euro 2012 Simulation – The Moment of Truth: Staking Plan Comparison

The Nutty Professors: Congratulations to those ‘mad’ scientists at the International School of Management (ISM) in Frankfurt and the German Sports University in Cologne whose predictions we followed throughout Euro 2012. Image: Pikoso.kz...
Wizard with glowing magical orb / Zauberer mit glühender magischer Kugel

Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 274 Bets, from 07/12/2011 to 30/06/2012

The end of the month has arrived once again and following 29 match analyses encompassing 67 more value bet recommendations, it is time for our usual reckoning. June was indeed an exceptional month realising a yield of 16.4%. The formulas and...
Octopus Fortune Teller with Crystal Ball / Octopus Wahrsager mit Kristallkugel

German Scientists Simulate Euro 2012

Something Fishy in Germany Again! If the prognosis of scientists from the International School of Management (ISM) in Frankfurt and the German Sport University Cologne is to be believed, then Euro 2012 will be nothing more than a re-run of the...
Wizard with glowing magical orb / Zauberer mit glühender magischer Kugel

Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 207 Bets, 07/12/2011 – 31/05/2012

The end of the month has arrived again and after 17 match analyses and 48 more value bet recommendations, it is time for our summary. May was the first month we published our value bet articles and predictions in both Betfair’s German...
Man with measure tape and golden coins / Mann mit Messband und goldenen Münzen

Impact of the ‘Overround’ on Accumulators, Multiple Bets, and Parlays

Betting odds are supposed to reflect the probability (statistical expectation) that a particular event will happen. Image: Elnur (Shutterstock) Because bookmakers are profit-making enterprises who offer bets on the market, it is understandable...
Smiling business woman with a calculator / Lächelnde Geschäftsfrau mit einem Taschenrechner

Football Betting Permutations: 5 Cup Finals in 5 Days

Slim chance for the favourites? It has been a busy week in the world of football with the conclusions of many major tournaments across Europe, including the jewel in the crown, the UEFA Champions League final between Bayern Munich and Chelsea. Having...
Wizard with glowing magical orb / Zauberer mit glühender magischer Kugel

Soccerwidow’s Value Betting Results: 159 Bets, from 07/12/2011 to 30/04/2012

After five months of writing match previews and bet recommendations both in the English and German language versions of Betfair’s blog, it is time to review the results and ultimately compare them with Betfair’s own odds (i.e. predicted...
Goal full of soccer balls / Tor voller Fußbälle

Goal Distribution Comparison – EPL, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, Eredivisie

Judging purely from statistics, watching French league games must be rather boring as there are never many goals. Image: koya979 (Shutterstock) The Dutch, on the other hand, tend to have at least five goals in nearly 10% of their matches. From...