Selection of the Desired Correct Score
1-0, 2-0, and 2-1 are ‘common’ scores in league games. The selection is entirely according to personal preference but 2-0 or 2-1 are ideal because the odds for these scores are usually somewhere around 11.0.
Whatever the selected score, it is of vital importance to stick with it for all bets up until the end of the season, without exceptions.
As soon as a team wins its £100, it is crossed off the list and betting continues only with the remaining teams.
The first bet is always on a selected team’s first home fixture of the season. The bet will be, for example, £10 on 2-0 at odds of 11.0, with some stake adjustment needed if the maximum odds available in the market differ.
With a little luck, one or two of the selected 30 teams will win their first fixture 2-0. These teams are immediately crossed off the list, the £100 win is banked, and betting continues only with the remaining teams.
In the 2nd round the stake is, for example, £11 in order to win £110 to recover the losses of the first bet and still make £100 profit.
Stakes continue to rise every time the selected teams fail to win 2-0 at home.
Football Roulette – Correct Score Betting – Staking Plan Table
Calculation of stakes assuming each bet can be placed at odds of 11.0
The above table shows quite clearly that despite the high odds, the accumulation of increasing stakes per betting round becomes quite expensive to maintain if several teams don’t achieve the desired result quickly enough. However, the probability that none of the selected teams achieves the desired result during the entire season is virtually zero.
It is also vital for the chosen teams that not a single home league fixture betting opportunity is missed. As soon as this system is started it must be continued methodically, no matter what your personal forecast of each match might be.
It is up to you and the size of your betting bank how many teams to include in this system. You can choose 10 or 50 teams and play with a higher or lower starting stake or win requirement, just so long as you remain consistent.
Monitoring the system and staking exactly during each betting round also requires a high degree of precision.
A simple system: no statistics, no complicated computations, no form reading; just starting capital, good housekeeping and discipline.
Closing Remarks
The trickiest part of football roulette correct score betting is to remain focused on a game-to-game basis and to stake properly each time. It becomes simpler with time as teams win and are crossed from the list leaving fewer games to juggle.
One or two of the selected teams may not achieve the desired result during the whole season. In order to limit losses, the following strategy can be used:
The system starts as prescribed at the beginning of the season (usually in August) with ‘X’ number of teams. At the mid-season point on 1st January (or the European Winter Break), review the results and decide whether to include new teams in the system. Perhaps look at adding other ‘strong’ teams in the leagues at that point which have not yet achieved your desired result.
The system sounds reasonable and might be promising; our next article provides a paper test of the 2011/2012 English league season to see what would have happened…
Go forward to: Football Roulette Correct Score Betting Strategy – 2011/2012 Paper Test.
Go forward to: Football Roulette Correct Score Conclusion.
Hi there.
First of all once again i would like to thank you for all the effort you put through your site. It’s top quality and one of my truly favourites.
The reason i write this to you is that i need any help in order to reverse the poisson when used for predicting the % of any score to happen in any match.
We know that we shall use the average goals into the equation to get to the % of A Team Scoring X goals, then we combine those to get % for actual scores and then we add them to get % of the final outcome.
I am not sure why i thought reversing the poisson but what do i mean. Is there any way for us to use the exact score odds offered by the bookies and go backwards to find the average goals should be used to get to odds offered?
I would like to know if there would be any huge gaps between the true goal averages that exist and the ones the bookies use. (well it all means we agree in an hypothesis that the bookies use the poisson themselves too)
I hope i made myself clear enough.
I would appreciate to hear back from you
All the best!
Hi Betakos,
I cannot answer your question for sure as I have never looked at this in detail. However, bookmakers adjust their odds to match public opinion: How Bookmakers’ Odds Match Public Opinion This is a general rule and applies to all markets, also Correct Scores. Therefore, I would not think that there is a valid and reliable way to use the correct score odds offered by the bookies in order to go backwards to find the average goals.
It is indisputably better and essential to understand odds calculation from the ground up, calculate your own odds, and then compare with the market prices.
Unrealistic odds for 2-0 the whole table is misleading… your stakes would rapidly increase with the true odds.
Been trying the correct score system on paper for a while now, and it seems to work. However, it’s better to use a bot as it takes out all the emotion, also use small stakes of £5 with a betting bank of £500.
This looks quite interesting, and not something that I have considered before. I may try this starting this weekend, even though we are part of the way through the season.
I have tried it and it worked. Best fascinating football bet system!