Demystifying Betting Myths
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Tag Archives: betting statistics

Hands clasped around a ball emulating the FIFA World Cup Trophy

Over Under Betting in the Season of the Coronavirus

This experiment in association with Bild.de online magazine was suspended on 5th May 2021. In July 2020, after the first wave of the coronavirus, when most of the leagues resumed their games Soccerwidow performed a public experiment to see whether...
July 2020 - Over Under experiment P/L results graph by expected Yield

Over Under Betting Experiment July 2020 ~ Final Report & Further Findings

From 1st July until 2nd August 2020, we carried out a How to Use Soccerwidow’s Over/Under Betting Cluster Tables 5 Simple Steps to Win Over and Under Betting Profitability (Value I) Profitability is the relation of profit/loss to the money...

Start of the 2020/21 Season: Matches Seem to Have More Goals

There seems to be an unprecedented shift from the Over/Under 2.5 Goals ‘benchmark’ to an ‘Over 3.5’ threshold. It’s early in the season but interesting to observe. The opening month of the 2020/21 Premier League season was one of...
Graph Profit+Loss HDAFU Trial Summer Leagues 2020

Interim Report after 91 Picks & 26 Betting Rounds ~ HDAFU Tables

2020 Summer League HDAFU Tables: Coronavirus Trial – ‘Live’ Picks Since the 1st July, we have been running a live picks experiment using systems selected from our HDAFU Tables to see if Covid-19 is affecting results one way or another. As...
Profit/Loss graph after 25 rounds - Corona experiment July 2020

Coronavirus Experiment: Over Under Betting after Interruption

After the first wave of the coronavirus, most of the leagues have now resumed their games and Soccerwidow started a public experiment to see whether old statistics can still be used and what can be observed after this unexpectedly long break....
Computer mouse attached to football bearing 1X2 symbols / Computemaus befestigt an einem Fußball mit 1X2 Symbolen

1X2 Betting System – Staking the Underdog

Every year we publish HDAFU simulation tables (Home, Draw, Away, Favourites, Underdogs), which model profit & losses for five seasons in each featured league for developing profitable betting systems. Today’s article discusses the...
Lay the Draw - 5 seasons - fixed stake

Bet and Win – Avoid Placing Bets at the Start of Season

If you are not operating a football betting portfolio which is primarily aimed at diversifying risk and balancing your cash resources between different leagues, matches, and outcomes, then it is strongly advisable to hold off from any betting...
Lay Draw EPL 2008-09 to 2011-12

1×2 Betting System: Analysis of HDA Data and Strategy Development – LAY THE DRAW

Numerous Web sites and forums pay homage to the Lay The Draw strategy with prolific threads from supporters claiming to have found extremely lucrative 1×2 betting systems. Therefore, I have decided to explore lay the draw betting in detail...

Correct Assignment of Football Data to Levels of Measurement

In statistics, information is collected using qualitative or quantitative data. The collected data is then organised using scales or levels in order to classify the data correctly because not every set of data is of equal value and can be analysed...

True Odds & Value Detector: International Club Competitions (with no head-to-head history)

This spreadsheet contains the calculations for international club tournaments between teams with no head-to-head history, applicable for competitions such as the UEFA Champions League, Europa League, or even the South American Copa Libertadores. International...