Demystifying Betting Myths
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Tag Archives: odds calculation

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Over Under Betting in the Season of the Coronavirus

This experiment in association with Bild.de online magazine was suspended on 5th May 2021. In July 2020, after the first wave of the coronavirus, when most of the leagues resumed their games Soccerwidow performed a public experiment to see whether...
July 2020 - Over Under experiment P/L results graph by expected Yield

Over Under Betting Experiment July 2020 ~ Final Report & Further Findings

From 1st July until 2nd August 2020, we carried out a How to Use Soccerwidow’s Over/Under Betting Cluster Tables 5 Simple Steps to Win Over and Under Betting Profitability (Value I) Profitability is the relation of profit/loss to the money...

Start of the 2020/21 Season: Matches Seem to Have More Goals

There seems to be an unprecedented shift from the Over/Under 2.5 Goals ‘benchmark’ to an ‘Over 3.5’ threshold. It’s early in the season but interesting to observe. The opening month of the 2020/21 Premier League season was one of...
Profit/Loss graph after 25 rounds - Corona experiment July 2020

Coronavirus Experiment: Over Under Betting after Interruption

After the first wave of the coronavirus, most of the leagues have now resumed their games and Soccerwidow started a public experiment to see whether old statistics can still be used and what can be observed after this unexpectedly long break....
Coronavirus Effects on Football Matches

Coronavirus: Its Effects on Football Matches & Results

With the current outbreak of Coronavirus spreading throughout the world, many punters are very worried about the effects this may have on football tournaments and results. Will match results be more volatile? Can past statistics still be applied...
Effect on odds and implied probabilities

Value Betting in Operation: Why the HDAFU Tables Work

We recently received a very valid question from a reader who went through our 2017-18 Winter League Report with a fine-tooth comb: “I have a question for you since your strategy in the German Bundesliga was Underdog Whole Season, why do you...
Cartoon: Group looking at a whiteboard with very strange word on it / Karikatur: Gruppe vor einem Whiteboard mit einem sehr seltsamem Wort

How do Bookmakers Tick? How & Why do they Set Their Odds as they do?

Becoming a successful bettor requires not only a deep understanding of odds calculation but, it is also necessary to understand how the market works and especially how the bookmakers operate. Of course, bookmakers are in the business of setting...
Soccer Field With Snow

Why Mid-season Breaks Matter in Football Betting

You may have heard the cliché that football is a game of two halves and, indeed, we have written about the statistical differences between the first and second halves of individual matches before. But when it comes down to the essence of football...
Cluster Table Screenshot - Betting Table Tab

How to Use Soccerwidow’s Over/Under Betting Cluster Tables

Soccerwidow’s Cluster Tables are an essential tool for identifying value bets and creating a profitable portfolio in the Over/Under ‘X’ Goals market. They rely on dividing historical data (previous five complete seasons) into...
Large red percentage cube with leaning ladders / Großer roter Prozentwürfel mit angelehnten Leitern

Over/Under Goals Market – Betting with Cluster Tables

The Fundamentals of Sports Betting Course has long since been Soccerwidow’s flagship product. It is the most comprehensive guide available anywhere explaining the mysteries of bookmaker mathematics and how to profit from understanding...