Demystifying Betting Myths
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Tag Archives: betting strategies

2019 Summer League HDAFU Tables – Campaign Report: £8k+ in 288 Days!

The best test of any theory is always how it works in practice: Below is the full account of our FT 1X2 results campaign for the 2019 ‘Summer Leagues’ based around Soccerwidow’s HDAFU ~ Home – Draw – Away –...
Puppy counting goldfish jumping into a bowl from a laptop / Welpen beobachtet Goldfische, die von einem Laptop in eine Schüssel springen

Betting System Concepts For Successful Football Betting

Imagine a trawler boat casting its net indiscriminately into the depths of an ocean. Although we know the fish are down there, ultimately, the only question that can ever be answered with any certainty is, “How many fish were caught?”. We...
Oddsportal Settings Screenshot

Understanding the Settings in Oddsportal

The only free source of historical, time-stamped odds available for a range of sports (not just soccer), comes courtesy of www.oddsportal.com. From a football perspective, although we personally limit ourselves to analysing only the previous...
300x300 Illustration: 2016-17 Winter League Profit Curve

HDAFU Tables: £20k in 214 days with the Winter Leagues

Following up the successful 2016 Summer League Campaign, here is our complete report on the 2016-17 Winter League Campaign, based on 18 different top flight leagues. 2016-17 Winter League Profit Curve We will try to avoid repeating what was...
Football Betting Slip with US Dollars / Fußball-Wettschein und US-Dollar-Noten

Odds to Use for Ante Post Football Betting Systems

Bookmakers’ Motives in the Ante Post Market: Towards the end of the ante post market many smaller bookmakers will already have reached their financial liability threshold for a particular match outcome and drop out of the race to be best...
Computer mouse attached to football bearing 1X2 symbols / Computemaus befestigt an einem Fußball mit 1X2 Symbolen

1X2 Betting System – Staking the Underdog

Every year we publish HDAFU simulation tables (Home, Draw, Away, Favourites, Underdogs), which model profit & losses for five seasons in each featured league for developing profitable betting systems. Today’s article discusses the...

Half-time Results are more Predictable than Full-time

It makes sense, doesn’t it? Predicting the result of a full 90-minute match has to be harder than predicting the outcome of just the first half. Logically speaking, any full-time (FT) football betting strategy must be riskier than betting...
Lay Draw EPL 2008-09 to 2011-12

1×2 Betting System: Analysis of HDA Data and Strategy Development – LAY THE DRAW

Numerous Web sites and forums pay homage to the Lay The Draw strategy with prolific threads from supporters claiming to have found extremely lucrative 1×2 betting systems. Therefore, I have decided to explore lay the draw betting in detail...
A school of fish with 3 fish swimming against the stream / 3 Fische, die gegen den Strom anderer Fische schwimmen

Successful Football Betting Using a Portfolio Strategy

In principle, football results are randomly distributed but the outcomes of games can be predicted fairly accurately using statistical modelling. This is contrary to other forms of gambling loaded in favour of the house such as lottery and roulette,...
Interconnected silver spheres with randomly placed red coloured spheres / Vernetzte Silberkugeln mit zufällig platzierten roten Kugeln

Football Roulette – 2012-13 Correct Score Simulation And Conclusion

In this final article on the Football Betting Correct Score Roulette System we will take the initial paper test one stage further and add what would have happened in the 2012-13 season if we had continued the system with the seven teams failing...